MEXICO CITY – It’s a new election year for the United States and indirectly, for Mexico, which has an eye on Donald Trump’s possible re-election, who maintains a good relationship with Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador.
The American electoral process formally begins on Feb. 3 in Iowa with the focus on who of the Democratic candidates – Joe Biden, Elizabeth Warren, Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttiegieg and Bernie Sanders – will face Trump.
Experts EFE consulted agreed migration will once again be one of Trump’s main campaign issues, who in the 2016 elections promised to build a border wall with Mexico to stop the entry of migrants.
“If the campaign becomes complicated for Trump, he will use Mexico as a ‘fight’ where he can comfortably strike and win votes. Reload the issue of migration and drug trafficking,” said Eduardo Gonzalez, a migration expert at the Technological Institute of Monterrey.
The flow of migrant caravans, mostly from Central Americans – which in the last year have crossed Mexico to reach the United States – has been the great cause of tension between the Mexican and US Government.
On occasions, Trump has used Twitter to attack migrants, who he has labeled “bad hombres,” and Mexico’s migration policies, something he can repeat if Mexico doesn’t stop the new caravan of Hondurans who recently arrived in Mexico.
Raquel Saed, an American policy specialist at the Universidad Iberoamericana, said Trump is busy with the process of his impeachment in the Senate for now, where everything suggests a Republican majority will prevent his fall.
But when campaigning, Trump will “very likely” resume his harsh speech against migration to satisfy hardcore Republicans and highlight his administration’s economic successes.
While Democrats such as Bernie Sanders will try to address the climate crisis after criticizing the insufficient measures discussed in the new trade agreement signed between the United States, Mexico and Canada (T-MEC).
Despite Trump’s numerous outbursts against Mexico, the relationship is good with Lopez Obrador, who the US president has come to define as “a man that I like and respect” in comparison to predecessor Enrique Peña Nieto.