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  HOME | Opinion (Click here for more)

Carlos Alberto Montaner: The Hour of the Adults
Latin American genius Carlos Alberto Montaner on conspiracy theories and the loss of Donald Trump.

By Carlos Alberto Montaner

“It takes half an hour of conversation with the average man to begin to doubt common sense.”

I don't know if Churchill said it, but he surely thought of it.

“People,” even educated people, believe in the “afterlife,” in “paranormal” phenomena, that Soros is behind all the vile things in the world, and in the strangest and most surprising conspiracies. Hitler, for example, was convinced that the ills of Germany would disappear by exterminating Jews, Gypsies, homosexuals and “other scoundrels.”

How can an adult person believe such stupidity? It is the same procedure of the acceptance of myths. The human being needs to find the relation between causes and effects. For thousands of years it was believed that the lightning storm was produced by the anger of the gods, so Martin Luther, trapped in the middle of one of these storms, promised the God of the Christians that he would dedicate himself to revere him if he came out of the episode alive.

Today physics and astronomy have explained the phenomenon in a much more convincing way, but the myth persists. People continue to be frightened by the noise of thunder and the sight of lightning.

In fact, electoral fraud in the United States does not exist. Yes, there are the usual irregularities of an election in which more than 150 million people voted, but there is nothing like a national conspiracy capable of altering the final result of an election intensely controlled by Republicans and Democrats in the 3,243 counties where the elections in the 50 states in which the country is divided take place.
Ivana Trump has a PhD in “Trumpology.” She was Donald Trump’s wife from 1977 to 1992. She is the person who knows him best. She had three children with him: Don(ald), Ivanka and Eric. She is a very intelligent Czech who knew and suffered communism directly. She had to flee Czechoslovakia with an Austrian, Mr. Alfred Winklmayr, a ski instructor, who faked a marriage with her to give her a foreign passport and an alibi to leave the proletariat’s paradise.

Ivana said recently that her ex-husband “doesn’t like to lose at all.” She was right. She was talking about the defeat inflicted by Joe Biden. He is unwilling to accept it and alleges, like a child, that the Democratic victory is due to fraud. Or to the hundreds of frauds perpetrated. Thousands of dead people who vote, tens of thousands of ballots sent by mail that are false and with the same return address. Eighty percent of his followers blindly believe what Trump says. If there is something that we are predisposed to maintain, it is the a priori guilt of our politicians.

They are guilty until proven otherwise.

Does Donald Trump believe it or does he pretend to believe it?

Does he suffer from a childhood trauma because he was beaten or because he didn’t receive a spanking in time?

Each minute that passes it is much more difficult for him to accept that he was wrong and congratulate his opponent. His hosts would feel cheated and would believe that “the leader” is another rogue politician. His niece, psychologist Mary Trump, author of a formidable book about her uncle, thinks that he will not do it and that we are in a very dangerous moment that could end in tragedy. She doesn’t even think that he can be tempted by the idea of a return to power four years from now. He knows that he is obese and unhealthy. In four years, he will be nearing 80 and perhaps too old to risk another failure.

Karl Rove, the great Republican strategist, published an article in the WSJ whose title reveals the content: This election result won’t be overturned. First, because it is not true that a fraud has been committed. And second, because the results were much better for the Party than the polls predicted.

RealClear Politics gave Democrats a 7.2 lead. Nate Silver gave them an 8-point lead. The actual margin was 3.3. The Democrats won by a very narrow margin. Republicans have so far kept the Senate and increased the number of Representatives in the Lower House.

January 20 is just around the corner. On that date, at noon, Joe Biden and Kamala Harris should be installed in the White House. If Donald Trump cannot concede victory to the couple who defeated him -- because he has a dark psychological problem that prevents him -- he should resign and leave that bitter moment to his vice president. Mike Pence can make that call. It is the hour of the adults.

Carlos Alberto Montaner is a journalist and writer. Born in 1943 in Cuba and exiled, Montaner is known for his more than 25 books and thousands of articles. PODER magazine estimates that more than six million readers have access to his weekly columns throughout Latin America. He is also a political analyst for CNN en Espanol. In 2012, Foreign Policy magazine named Montaner as one of the fifty most influential intellectuals in the Ibero-American world. His latest novel is A Time for Scoundrels. His latest essay is "The President: A Handbook for Voters and the Elected." His latest book is Sin ir más lejos (Memories), published by Debate, a label of Penguin-Random House.


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