By Beatrice E. Rangel
According to the brilliant psychotherapist Carl Jung, Synchronicity is "the simultaneous occurrence of events (or coincidences) which apparently have no clear cause but are deeply meaningful."
In our hemisphere synchronicity seems to be announcing profound changes in the body politik and the economic platform.
But the signs that change is here to stay do not seem to be perceptible to the hemispheric commanding heights where the leadership continues to act like if we were in the post-Cold War period and the height of the manufacturing economy when economic and political threats to nationhood were identifiable and easily addressable.
Indeed, while the Trump administration heralds that it is in no rush to close a trade agreement with China that will bring the current tariff war to a halt, soybean producers in Brasil and Argentina are preparing to take away those Chinese procurement contracts currently served by American farmers.
By mid-2020 displaced American farmers will most probably review their political preferences, even if Uncle Sam buys their crops to feed nations undergoing humanitarian crises.
Also, at that point in time the U.S. economy could undergo a major correction, given the recent fast and fearsome growth of collateralized debt obligations within the U.S. financial portfolio.
In South America, President Ivan Duque seems to be sure that Colombia's economy will be able to absorb the continuing stampede of Venezuelans running away from death by disease, famine, or crime induced violence.
But for the past six months economic songs coming from Colombia point to stagnation -- except for the exchange stability due to an increase in nontraditional exports like cocaine.
Meanwhile both domestic and foreign demand continue to be rather slack.
As the situation worsens in Venezuela, economic growth will demand sizable foreign investments which do not seem to be on the horizon as investors see rising risk in Colombia due to the implosion in Venezuela and the relative ease that radical and violent groups like the ELN and FARC enjoy in using the Venezuelan territory as a safe haven from which to attack Colombia.
In short, the nature of politics and the driving forces of development in Colombia are severely impacted by the Crisis in Venezuela. Unfortunately, this development had been in the making for the last five years without being properly faced by Colombian elites.
In Venezuela, the U.S. and Guaido-led opposition fell into a regime trap by believing that their talks to part of Maduro's inner circle would lead to their disowning Maduro.
In fact, what was truly happening was that the regime was executing the last phase of a well planned preservation campaign. This called for the identification of all individuals that were in talks with the opposition to purge Regime ranks.
Further, the government also needed to learn the depth of the exchanges between the Guaido led opposition and the U.S. The Maduro Regime of course won on both these counts.
Had the U.S. and the opposition paid more heed to the events unfolding around Venezuela -- the increased extraction of gold and other valuable commodities; the presence of Russian military; the bunkerization of the Cuban leaders entrusted with conducting Venezuela -- they would perhaps understand that true criminals seldom negotiate, and when they do it is because they have a pistol pointed at their brains.
Without any credible threat negotiations with organized crime are just yet another way to furnish coveted privileged information to its masterminds.
Let's pray that from now on our hemispheric leadership begins to listen and interpret the signs of change to avoid yet another financial crisis and the take over of organized crime through that magnificent operational base that is Venezuela.Beatrice Rangel is President & CEO of the AMLA Consulting Group, which provides growth and partnership opportunities in US and Hispanic markets. AMLA identifies the best potential partner for businesses which are eager to exploit the growing buying power of the US Hispanic market and for US Corporations seeking to find investment partners in Latin America. Previously, she was Chief of Staff for Venezuela President Carlos Andres Perez as well as Chief Strategist for the Cisneros Group of Companies.
For her work throughout Latin America, Rangel has been honored with the Order of Merit of May from Argentina, the Condor of the Andes Order from Bolivia, the Bernardo O'Higgins Order by Chile, the Order of Boyaca from Colombia, and the National Order of Jose Matías Delgado from El Salvador.
You can follow her on twitter @BEPA2009 or contact her directly at BRangel@amlaconsulting.com.